|
Rank |
Player Name |
Comments |
|
1 |
LaDainian Tomlinson |
Tomlinson has shown crazy consistency over the past
5 seasons. This means a lot since I would normally
be nervous about the loss of a starting quarterback.
But the fact that he produced in Brees' worst years
means that he can do it regardless. |
|
2 |
Larry Johnson |
Larry
and Priest combined for over 2700 yards and 27
touchdowns last year. Considering that he'll be
getting almost all the touches this year, any
significant portion of that production makes him a
phenomenal pick. |
|
3 |
Shaun Alexander |
He was
last year's big gun and showed his dominance piling
up yardage (over 1900) and touchdowns (28). This
year he's guaranteed to finish in the top-5, the
only argument is about how high he will end up in
the final rankings. |
|
4 |
Tiki Barber |
While
he won't pile up the 2300+ combined yards he did
last year, I do expect him to have another great
season. The fact that Manning, Plaxico, and Shockey
are likely to have collectively improved suggests
there will be even more running room due to the
increased balance. |
|
5 |
Steven Jackson |
The
departure of Martz and Faulk (for this season) both
translate into more carries. The return of Bulger
means more respect for the passing game. Add those
two things together with his first, fully healthy
off-season and he should do much better than last
year. |
|
6 |
Rudi Johnson |
He's
part of a great offense, played through a knee
injury, and still finished in the top ten. While he
tends to get almost all of his yardage on the
ground, he should have another year like 2005 and be
worth a first round pick. |
|
7 |
Edgerrin James |
Working
in the Colts' offense last year Edge had another
great season. This year will be a bit different but
should still be worthwhile. The presence of a
veteran quarterback and two star receivers should
help balance out the lack of a stellar line. |
|
8 |
Ronnie Brown |
What
could be better for Brown's numbers than the
departure of Williams and the arrival of Culpepper?
This year should see significant improvement from
last year's solid rookie campaign. |
|
9 |
Corey Dillon |
Last
year's injuries were definitely a problem. He has
apparently logged loads of hours getting over his
issues from last year and is ready to go. The
presence of a much-hyped rookie back adds additional
questions. That said, he should see the ball quite a
bit and is likely to have some stellar numbers if he
can stay healthy. |
|
10 |
Brian Westbrook |
Normally the lack of great wide outs would give me a
lot of concern for a running back because opponents
can just concentrate on him. The Eagles' approach
mitigates that by getting him touches in numerous
ways. Apparently he will be getting more rushing
touches and even some time split wide as a receiver
this season. More touches are always good and Philly
is going to need him. Potential injuries drop my
expectations a bit but Ryan Moats is a good
insurance plan for that. |
|
11 |
Clinton Portis |
Portis
took a little while to get going last season but
ended up with decent enough numbers to finish 6th
among fantasy backs. He should be more comfortable
in the offense this season and they're trying to
surround him with more options. I think Gibbs'
offense starts to click a little better, mainly
because of Portis. |
|
12 |
Lamont Jordan |
Jordan
had a pretty solid first year in Oakland considering
the play of their line and the inability of Moss to
go full speed. Healing time should square Moss away
and the new coaching staff should have an immediate
impact on the line's play. Look for an even better
year of fantasy production. |
|
13 |
Carnell Williams |
In a
season limited by injury, Williams still shined as a
rookie. A year smarter and healthier, he should
improve on last season's output and be a big time
fantasy factor this year. |
|
14 |
Julius Jones |
Jones
is a good player, but has not really wowed like some
thought he might. The presence of TO and Marion
Barber both could eat into his numbers this season.
However, given Parcells' approach to managing Jones,
I expect a hot start that could really get your
fantasy team going. After that, you should
definitely have Barber just in case. |
|
15 |
Willis McGahee |
While
blame can be placed elsewhere, McGahee was a serious
disappointment last year. I think he has the talent
to do more this season but is really limited by
what's been put around him. I expect better things
but continued trouble finding the end zone. |
|
16 |
Warrick Dunn |
Yardage, yardage, yardage. This guy may not get a
ton of touchdowns, but he does tend to get it done
in the yardage department. |
|
17 |
Tatum Bell |
Bell is
going to offer considerable value whether or not
he's the starter, or is a change of pace from Ron
Dayne. His ability to put up serious numbers with
limited touches makes him a danger for a great game
every week. It does not make him a consistent player
though, unless he does win the job. He has a big
upside and isn't much of a risk as long as he's not
your main man. |
|
18 |
Reuben Droughns |
Even
though he finished 13th among fantasy backs, he is
often easy to overlook due to the lack of
touchdowns. He'll likely get fewer touches this
season but should make more of them due to the line
improvements made in the off season. |
|
19 |
Domanick Davis |
The
Texans may have passed on a future star in Bush, but
they already have a really solid back. Last year he
only played in 11 games but was still able to put up
almost 1000 yards, but was pretty light in the TD
department. Look for him to run with much deserved
confidence this season and step it up notch. |
|
20 |
Chester Taylor |
Being
the starting back in Minnesota doesn't seem to mean
as much as it does elsewhere. That said, I fully
expect him to best the top runner there last year
(Mewelde Moore). |
|
21 |
Jamal Lewis |
He
wasn't very impressive last year and now has a
legitimate #1 as his backup. This does not make me
very comfortable with him considering his talent.
That said, we're not so far removed from him being a
1st round pick. I do like the presence of a veteran
quarterback and his apparent ramp up of conditioning
in the off-season. |
|
22 |
Willie Parker |
While
"The Bus" may be gone, they will still use several
backs in Pittsburgh. That didn't stop Parker from
putting up surprising numbers last year. I think he
will see a bit of a drop off but he's still a good
home run threat. |
|
23 |
DeShaun Foster |
Deshaun
is the man in Carolina and will be a great early
season value. As for late season, it's unknown since
he has a bad habit of ending up on the injured
reserve. Ride his production early and make sure you
have his backup, |
|
24 |
Ahman Green |
Green
is currently listed at the number 1 spot, and
appears to be recovering successfully from
quadriceps surgery, but is no longer the safe
starter. Gado surprised last year with some very
solid outings and has put things in question. Green
still has the ability to produce when healthy. |
|
25 |
Deuce McAllister |
With
injuries keeping him out of the action last year
many may have forgotten what a solid back Deuce is.
His value is reduced somewhat by the injury and
addition of Bush (assuming he plays) but he is still
a great back to have play after play. |
|
26 |
Thomas Jones |
Jones'
value is in serious question since it's unclear what
his role will be. While he did finish in the top-10
of fantasy backs last year, Benson looms large on
the horizon. |
|
27 |
Fred Taylor |
With
Fred there's always a concern about his health.
Additionally Greg Jones has shown that he can
maintain the level of play when he's forced to carry
the load. When Taylor's healthy he still has amazing
ability. I think he'll have a better year this
season, but won't have enough touches to really
impress. |
|
28 |
Kevin Jones |
After
putting up stiff competition for bust-of-the-year
last year, Jones returns with new potential upside.
With Martz back in the role that suits him best
there is some serious upside in Detroit on the
offensive side of the ball. It's all potential at
this point though. |
|
29 |
Chris Brown |
While
he is the starter in Tennessee, the fact that he's
requesting a trade and that Travis Henry and LenDale
White are also there to share carries makes him a
very low ranking number one NFL back. This is
balanced a bit by Fisher's intent to run the ball
more this season, but doesn't offset the fact that
he hasn't proven to be very sturdy. |
|
30 |
Joseph Addai |
While
many peg him as a great replacement for James, it
would be foolish to expect Edge-like numbers so
soon. His lack of experience and shared touches with
Rhodes severely compromise his value. He does have
serious upside though. Running off a Manning
play-action can do wonders for your stats. Look for
a second half surge. |
|
31 |
Reggie Bush |
It's
unclear what his role is going to be but he is
probably worth taking just on the off chance that he
is anything like what people think he may be. |
|
32 |
Greg Jones |
Jones'
stock rose last year and he'll get touches, even
while he's waiting for the potential injury to
Taylor. He's a solid backup if you have Fred and has
serious upside beyond that. |
|
33 |
Marion Barber |
Barber
showed last year that he can fill in quite
effectively. I really like backups that can quickly
turn into productive starters and provide fantasy
lineup consistency. |
|
34 |
Frank Gore |
none |
|
35 |
Mike Bell |
Is this
Shannahan messing with other teams? Is he messing
with his other backs? Or has he found another back
to plug right into his 1000-yard rushing machine.
He's definitely worth a look, but not a top pick
just yet. |
|
36 |
Cedric Benson |
His
large contract suggests he'll get a fair shot. Jones
also helped open the door with some of his antics in
the off-season. I don't think he'll be the man in
town just yet, but he'll start to get some looks and
is quite valuable as a backup to Jones. |
|
37 |
Dominic Rhodes |
|
|
38 |
Laurence Maroney |
There
is a lot of hype around this guy. The fact that
Dillon has started to experience some injury issues
and is in his early 30's suggests he may get some
chances. Definitely a requirement to back up Dillon. |
|
39 |
T.J. Duckett |
|
|
40 |
Curtis Martin |
Coming
off of arthroscopic surgery on his knee there are
some serious questions about how much he's got left
in the tank. The Jets have started to inject new
life into their O-line but it's probably too early
to see the return on those moves. Last year he
barely finished in the top-30 and is probably
looking at a similar situation this year. The latest
rumors don't sound good and drops Martin even
further as a result. |
|
41 |
Mike Anderson |
|
|
42 |
Vernand Morency |
|
|
43 |
Michael Pittman |
|
|
44 |
Derrick Blaylock |
While
he's technically the backup, it's not looking
promising on the Martin front. This elevates the
value of both Blaylock and Washington. |
|
45 |
Samkon Gado |
|
|
46 |
Lendale White |
While
Travis Henry is also in the mix, I like White as a
more valuable backup more because of his potential
to get goal line carries even when he's not the
starter. His upside is also something to be taken
into account. |
|
47 |
Ron
Dayne |
Dayne
still has an outside shot at the starting role.
He'll get some touches either way but only has
significant value if he wins the job. I don't expect
him to make a splash with only a handful of touches
per game but is a good backup for Bell since it's
unclear whether or not he's durable enough to carry
the load. |
|
48 |
Priest Holmes |
The
fact that he's still not officially cleared to play
concerns me. He has loads of talent but will
definitely be the backup. If he does get healthy
enough to play, his value is more as a backup to the
top pick. If not, you definitely should grab Dee
Brown. |
|
49 |
DeAngelo Williams |
With
IR-happy Foster in front of him he could be a late
season surprise and is a must have backup. |
|
50 |
Tony Fisher |
Improves with the loss of Faulk due to knee surgery.
Is now Jackson's backup. |
|
51 |
Travis Henry |
He's
the backup, but is one of three backs. Committee
situations are never good, especially when you're
not the starter or the recent first round pick. |
|
52 |
Kevan Barlow |
|
|
53 |
Leon Washington |
|
|
54 |
Duce Staley |
|
|
55 |
Chris Perry |
|
|
56 |
Mewelde Moore |
|
|
57 |
Artose Pinner |
|
|
58 |
Brandon Jacobs |
|
|
59 |
Correll Buckhalter |
|
|
60 |
Maurice Hicks |
|