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2006 NFL
Strength of Schedule Rankings
Your
Players Are Only As Good as Their Defensive Match-ups
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The NFL schedule is a
carefully crafted tool designed to promote parity across the league. That
design allows teams that were less successful the previous season to play
against weaker teams in the coming year.
However, the schedule is constrained
by the following rules...
1.) A team must play the teams in
their division twice per year. One game at home and one on the road.
2.) A team must play all
teams from one division in their own conference once per year. The
division to be played rotates annually.
3.) A team must play all
teams from one division in the other conference once per year. The
division to be played rotates annually.
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So if everything is so defined,
where does the parity come in? The trick is that there are also two
remaining games where a team is matched up against conference opponents who
finished in the same position in their division the previous year.
Huh? Think of it this
way...if your team finished second in their division last year, they will play
the second place finishers from the two in-conference divisions that they
aren't already scheduled against. (Remember, they already play against their own
division and one other in their conference.)
So the bottom line is that all
schedules are not created equal. In fantasy football the choices are all
about match-ups, which means that a team's schedule is an important deciding
factor come draft day.
The traditional way to look at a
team's strength of schedule is based upon the combined win / loss record of
their opponents. In fantasy football however, we really don't care about
whether a team wins or loses, only how the players on that team perform
statistically. If a team is consistently losing by 20 points, that only
increases the value of the quarterback and pass catchers who must move the ball
quickly to catch up. Conversely, a team that can keep a lead will score
well in their rushing game as they run out the clock and defensively when they
can pin their ears back rushing the quarterback and jump routes in obvious
passing situations.
That said, it is foolish to
only use a set of opponents' win/loss record to determine a teams' strength of
schedule. A quarterback profits in match-ups against weak passing defenses,
a running back against poor rushing defenses and everyone loves a team that
gives up a lot of points.
The Freaks have you covered
though. We analyze every team's schedule against all criteria, and tell
you which players are favored and who you should avoid.
You will
not find
more
definitive,
unique
or
informative
strength
of
schedule
analysis
on the
'net.
You are
one step
closer
to your
trophy.
Rushing Defense
Strength of Schedule |
Passing Defense Strength of Schedule
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